Mortgage Pool – Holding Period Return

This spreadsheet was originally compiled to help make the decision to either sell mortgages that were originated, or keep them. It can also be used to help with the decision to purchase a pool of whole loans, or a securitized mortgage pools. Two different concepts of return are referred to in this post. The two are […]

Defeasance

Important This post and spreadsheet has been updated. Please click this link to Defeasance 4.0 If you are involved in commercial lending or perhaps municipal bonds you are probably familiar with the term defeasance. Commercial loans normally have hefty prepayment penalties, while some loan documents prohibit prepayment altogether. Commercial loan defeasance is a collateral substitution […]

Constant Default Rate (CDR)

Also see this post: Comparing CDR Default Formulas to Industry Standard Default Formulas   Constant Default Rate (CDR) is an annualized rate of default on a pool of loans. The default rate on loans depends on a number of conditions, such as the age of the loans, seasonality, burnout levels, FICO, LTV, income, etc. Since […]

Convert CPR, SMM & ABS (APS)

We have already discussed Constant Prepayment Rate (CPR) and Single Monthly Mortality Rate (SMM). Another prepayment rate is the Absolute Prepayment Speed (APS), used mostly for  securities backed by auto, truck, and RV loans. The acronym for Absolute Prepayment Speed (APS) is also referred to as ABS, which is confusing because ABS is also the acronym for Asset-Backed […]

Solve for Last Payment Due

In my first blog post back in August, I had a formula that would solve for future value given dates and amounts. In this post we will use the same formula to solve for the last payment due. There are a number of scenarios where the last payment might be needed. Assume for a moment that you won a court judgment […]

Reverse Engineering Constant Prepayment Rate (CPR)

This post has been updated in a new post called Calculating Historic CPR. The spreadsheets has also been updated “CalCPR.xlsm” After you review this post, please see the updated post. Unless you work for a firm that packages pools of mortgages, you will probably never need to calculate the historic CPR on an existing pool. Even so, […]

Mortgage Pool Price and Average Life One Cell Formulas

See updated formula at: MBS Math Formula. Servicing, CPR, Payment Delay, Default Rate & Loss Severity http://pistulka.com/Other/?p=2384 A few posts back I showed the “megaformula” I used back in the day for calculating the price of a mortgage pool with prepayments (CPR). Rather than treating the one cell formula as just an interesting antique, I […]

Amortization Schedule With Variable Rates

Note: I have updated this post with more options. See Variable Rate Amortization – Day/Year Count & Last Payment Options. Have you ever wanted an amortization schedule where you can set the rate for one term and then change the rate for another term, and change the rate and term a total of six times? […]

Mortgage Backed Securities (MBS) “MegaFormula”

See updated formula at: MBS Math Formula. Servicing, CPR, Payment Delay, Default Rate & Loss Severity http://pistulka.com/Other/?p=2384 This post is just to show you 20-somethings what we had to go through to calculate the price of a mortgage backed security back in the day. I had the first desktop computer (before Apple and Radio Shack were […]

TDR – Decision Tree for Notice of Defaults

After the housing bubble crash, defaults on mortgage loans became a big problem for financial institutions. A large number of homeowners either could not or would not continue to make payments on homes that were “underwater” (home value less than the amount owed on mortgages and other liens). After 90 days of no payments, a […]